While Sevilla's domestic form should be considered ahead of this contest, they tend to be a different animal on the continental scene, especially in this competition. Although they may struggle to keep out Fenerbahce for the 90 minutes, we still expect victory for the home side.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
0.01) 
-0) 
