MX23RW : Friday, May 19 10:26:04| >> :120:44872:44872:
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Sukru Saracoglu Stadium
Fenerbahce
2 - 0
Larnaca
Batshuayi (26'), Mamas (80' og.)
Osayi-Samuel (39'), Lincoln (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanjurjo (9'), Faraj (12'), Altman (39')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Fenerbahce and AEK Larnaca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 0-0 Fenerbahce
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-1 Larnaca
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Fenerbahce 3-1 AEK Larnaca

Although Larnaca have won three of their last four games in all competitions, we think that they fall short against a Fenerbahce side who are aiming to clinch a sixth consecutive home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawAEK Larnaca
56.35% (-0.271 -0.27) 24.93% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 18.71% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 44.14% (0.247 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.23% (0.129 0.13)56.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (0.104 0.1)77.71% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)20.12% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.62% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)52.38% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.26% (0.347 0.35)44.74% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.27% (0.278 0.28)80.73% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 56.35%
    AEK Larnaca 18.71%
    Draw 24.93%
FenerbahceDrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 14.43% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 11.57% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.24% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 18.71%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Larnaca

Fenerbahce
84.1%
Draw
11.6%
AEK Larnaca
4.3%
138
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!