Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.