MX23RW : Friday, May 19 23:06:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt
MVV
2 - 1
Dordrecht
van Bommel (45+3'), Essers (78')
Matthys (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Longo (90+1')
Longo (68'), Smolarczyk (88')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Dordrecht.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Helmond 1-2 MVV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 1-0 Jong PSV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawDordrecht
50.06% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 23.16% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 26.77% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.57% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (0.099000000000004 0.1)41.27% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (0.10100000000001 0.1)63.66% (-0.102 -0.1)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.064999999999998 0.06)16.64% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51% (0.119 0.12)46.48% (-0.119 -0.12)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (0.012 0.01)28.54% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)64.32% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 50.06%
    Dordrecht 26.77%
    Draw 23.15%
MVV MaastrichtDrawDordrecht
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 50.06%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 26.77%

How you voted: MVV vs Dordrecht

MVV Maastricht
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Dordrecht
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2022 8pm
Dordrecht
1-2
MVV
Brito (28')
Camara (33')
Steuckers (21'), Souren (50')
Feb 25, 2022 7pm
Dordrecht
3-1
MVV
El Azzouzi (52'), Conteh (67'), Meijer (83')
Mannes (61'), N'Diaye (90+4')
Dzepar (19')
Penders (36'), Waem (38'), Lake (84')
Oct 15, 2021 7pm
MVV
2-1
Dordrecht
Ntelo (17'), Remans (18')
Souren (28'), Zeegers (60'), Ntelo (65'), Blummel (82'), Waem (90+2')
N'Diaye (40')
Suray (16'), Schuurman (48'), Wielzen (86')
Suray (90+4')
Apr 23, 2021 8pm
Dordrecht
0-1
MVV

Aktas (70')
Blummel (90+5')
Salasiwa (50'), Van Acker (90+1')
Dec 18, 2020 8pm
MVV
3-1
Dordrecht
Vliet (56' og.), Zamouri (68'), Duin (90+4')
Schuurman (76')
Surmeli (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
3Almere CityAlmere City382171058411770
4Willem II381911868402868
5MVV MaastrichtMVV38185156565059
6NAC BredaNAC Breda38185156464059
7VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo381610125651558
8FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven381610125854458
9TelstarTelstar381411133952-1353
10De GraafschapDe Graafschap381571664541052
11Jong AZJong AZ38149156058251
12ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag381312135157-651
13Jong AjaxJong Ajax381210166972-346
14Jong PSVJong PSV38129175963-445
15Roda JC38127194959-1043
16Helmond SportHelmond381110173957-1843
17TOP OssOss38107214576-3137
18Dordrecht3898214168-2735
19Den BoschDen Bosch38105234685-3935
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht3877243365-3228

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!