Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
