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National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium
Alfreton Town
Gloucester City
1 - 1
Alfreton
Obadeyi (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thewlis (82')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Alfreton Town.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Telford 0-4 Gloucester City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-2 King's Lynn
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawAlfreton Town
42.16% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 26.06% (0.0020000000000024 0) 31.79% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.06% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)51.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)73.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)24.09% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.62% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.38% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.028000000000006 0.03)30.1% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.036999999999999 0.04)66.24% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 42.16%
    Alfreton Town 31.79%
    Draw 26.06%
Gloucester CityDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.16%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.79%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
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