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National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Chelmsford City
5 - 1
Hungerford
James (4'), Blackwell (19', 43'), Johnson (58'), Jones (60')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Boachie (53')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Hungerford Town.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 3-1 Chelmsford City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Hungerford
Thursday, April 13 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawHungerford Town
60.12% (2.24 2.24) 20.83% (-0.637 -0.64) 19.06% (-1.602 -1.6)
Both teams to score 57.38% (-0.529 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.55% (0.581 0.58)39.45% (-0.579 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.21% (0.605 0.6)61.79% (-0.604 -0.6)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.24% (0.85199999999999 0.85)12.75% (-0.851 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.98% (1.726 1.73)39.02% (-1.723 -1.72)
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (-1.26 -1.26)34.23% (1.262 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-1.376 -1.38)70.93% (1.378 1.38)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 60.12%
    Hungerford Town 19.06%
    Draw 20.83%
Chelmsford CityDrawHungerford Town
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.333 0.33)
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.228 0.23)
3-0 @ 6.36% (0.421 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.224 0.22)
4-0 @ 3.27% (0.313 0.31)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.059 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.134 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 60.12%
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.296 -0.3)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 19.06%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Hungerford
1-1
Chelmsford City
Evans (76' pen.)
Jones (29')
Winfield (74'), Ochieng (79')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Hungerford
2-1
Chelmsford City
Seager (40', 59')
Bradshaw (27')
rhs 2.0
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