Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.