Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Celje3 - 4Guimaraes
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Celje and Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aluminij 2-2 Celje
Sunday, July 23 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Sunday, July 23 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Wolves
Sunday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Sunday, July 9 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Celje had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.2% ( 0.37) | 24.73% ( -0.01) | 46.07% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
