Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 9, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo2 - 0Independiente
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between San Lorenzo and Independiente del Valle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Independiente 2-3 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
35.5% ( -0.09) | 28.75% ( -0.01) | 35.75% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.59% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
