MX23RW : Monday, April 28 03:19:06| >> :120:15447:15447:
Vasco da Gama
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco
1 - 0
Puerto Cabello

Vegetti (45+2')
Moreira (61'), Vegetti (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Paredes (42'), Mbaye (52'), Casiani (62'), Echeverria (84')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Vasco da Gama and Academia Puerto Cabello.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 3-0 Vasco
Saturday, April 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 2-2 Lanus
Thursday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawAcademia Puerto Cabello
51.61% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 26.47% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 21.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.41% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.23% (0.037999999999997 0.04)58.77% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.71% (0.028000000000002 0.03)79.29% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (0.034999999999997 0.03)22.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.050000000000004 0.05)56.68% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Academia Puerto Cabello Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)78.77% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 51.61%
    Academia Puerto Cabello 21.92%
    Draw 26.47%
Vasco da GamaDrawAcademia Puerto Cabello
1-0 @ 14.31%
2-0 @ 10.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.11%
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 21.92%

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