

Independiente2 - 1Barcelona
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Independiente del Valle 2-1 Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle should be confident of keeping a clean sheet given their opponents have struggled in the final third. Barcelona SC have rarely performed well away from home and have found positive results difficult to come by in recent weeks, and it is hard to see them avoiding defeat on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Independiente del Valle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Independiente del Valle.
Result | ||
Independiente del Valle | Draw | Barcelona SC |
60.66% (![]() | 22.18% (![]() | 17.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.52% (![]() | 48.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.39% (![]() | 70.61% (![]() |
Independiente del Valle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.47% (![]() | 15.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.54% (![]() | 44.46% (![]() |
Barcelona SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.27% (![]() | 41.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.8% (![]() | 78.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Independiente del Valle | Draw | Barcelona SC |
1-0 @ 12.06% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.23% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.19% Total : 60.64% | 1-1 @ 10.54% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.48% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.29% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.17% | 0-1 @ 5.67% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 1.82% Total : 17.16% |
How you voted: Independiente vs Barcelona

Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 |
4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 |
6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 |
9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 |
10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 |
11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 |
13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 |
15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 |
17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 |
R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 |
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