Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 29, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras6 - 0Cristal
Willian (32'), Manuel Lopez (39', 45+2'), Veiga (64'), Paulinho (71'), Torres (80')
Manuel Lopez (39'), Andrade Elias (78')
Manuel Lopez (39'), Andrade Elias (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tavara (49'), Jesus Posito Olazabal (69'), Jair Cabellos Vazquez (78')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Flamengo
Sunday, May 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Cristal 0-1 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Palmeiras 2-0 Sporting Cristal
Though Cristal will be more motivated, their hopes of qualifying for the next round are only paper thin. Even a rotated Palmeiras side would have too much firepower for the Peruvians to handle, so they are set to finish third and slip into the Sudamericana. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
70.97% ( -0.16) | 17.39% ( 0.16) | 11.63% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
