Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.