Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 12, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Cerro Porteno4 - 2Melgar
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Cerro Porteno and Melgar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Melgar |
39.42% ( 0.42) | 27.78% ( 0.08) | 32.8% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
