MX23RW : Wednesday, April 23 19:39:36| >> :60:917:917:
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Tolima
0 - 1
Melgar


Quinones (45'), Ramirez (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cabrera (36')
Tandazo (49'), Cabrera (70'), Caceda (86')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Deportes Tolima and Melgar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

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Last Game: Tolima 0-0 Medellin (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, March 6 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Melgar

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Last Game: Melgar 1-1 Aurora
Thursday, February 15 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Melgar had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Melgar win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Deportes TolimaDrawMelgar
46.69% (-0.401 -0.4) 28.09% (0.115 0.12) 25.22% (0.289 0.29)
Both teams to score 43.43% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.29% (-0.195 -0.2)61.7% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.48% (-0.144 -0.14)81.52% (0.146 0.15)
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (-0.292 -0.29)26.54% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (-0.389 -0.39)61.74% (0.392 0.39)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.12% (0.152 0.15)40.87% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.56% (0.137 0.14)77.44% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Deportes Tolima 46.69%
    Melgar 25.22%
    Draw 28.07%
Deportes TolimaDrawMelgar
1-0 @ 14.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.84% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 25.22%

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