La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 23, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Coliseum Alfonso Perez

Getafe
0 - 1
Real Madrid

Milla (87'), Peter (90+5'), Alvaro (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guler (21')
Tchouameni (69')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 1-0 Getafe
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, April 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Real Madrid
20.91% ( 0.02)	23.46% ( 0.05)	55.63% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.53% (

-0.2)

48.47% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.4% (

-0.19)

70.6% (

0.18)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.46% (

-0.09)

37.53% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.68% (

-0.09)

74.31% (

0.08)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.73% (

-0.1)

17.26% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.41% (

-0.18)

47.58% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Getafe 20.91%

Real Madrid 55.63%

Draw 23.45%

Getafe	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.91%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.45%	0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 55.63%