Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 80.38%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 6.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.88%) and 1-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.