Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.