Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.