Almeria have been impressive in front of their own fans this season, while Cadiz have suffered defeats in seven of their 12 league games on their travels. Cadiz are not losing many games at the moment, though, and we are backing the visitors to secure a share of the spoils on Saturday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-1.63) 
0.53) 
