Almeria's home form has been so impressive this season, but Villarreal will be determined to prove that they are over their recent run of disappointing results. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
0.39) 
-0.71) 
