Mallorca have won each of their last four home league matches, overcoming both Atletico and Real Madrid in the process, and we are backing another success for Aguirre's side here. Villarreal are a team seriously out of form, and it could be another disappointing evening for Setien's side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.19) 
