Celta have been the draw specialists in recent weeks, sharing the points in three of their last four league matches, and we can see another stalemate here. Mallorca have both scored and conceded just six times at home in the league this season, so a low-scoring affair can be expected on Friday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
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