Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Celta Vigo |
46.66% (![]() | 25.82% | 27.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.78% (![]() | 52.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.07% | 73.93% (![]() |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.63% (![]() | 22.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.14% (![]() | 55.86% (![]() |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.28% (![]() | 33.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% (![]() | 70.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.66% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.2% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 27.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |