Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
32.89% (![]() | 25.4% (![]() | 41.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.88% (![]() | 48.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.72% (![]() | 70.28% (![]() |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% (![]() | 27.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.57% (![]() | 63.43% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.06% (![]() | 22.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% (![]() | 56.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 8.17% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.89% | 1-1 @ 12.02% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 9.4% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 76 |
2 | Real Madrid | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 65 | 31 | 34 | 69 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 63 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 57 |
5 | Villarreal | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 52 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 51 |
7 | Mallorca | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 44 |
8 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 43 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Getafe | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
13 | Espanyol | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 39 |
14 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 37 |
16 | GironaGirona | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 34 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 32 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 31 |
19 | Leganes | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 29 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 23 | 76 | -53 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |