Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.