La Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 7, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal
2 - 1
Real Madrid
The Match
Match Report
Real Madrid miss the chance to return to the top of the La Liga table as they suffer a 2-1 defeat to Villarreal on Saturday afternoon.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Villarreal.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Real Valladolid.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cartagena 1-5 Villarreal
Tuesday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Tuesday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Cacereno 0-1 Real Madrid
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Madrid |
26.36% ( 0.14) | 23.91% ( 0.18) | 49.72% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
