Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
26.96% | 25.58% | 47.45% |
Both teams to score 51.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.37% | 51.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.58% | 73.42% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.16% | 33.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.49% | 70.51% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.24% | 21.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.05% | 54.95% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 1.82% 3-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.96% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 8.56% 1-3 @ 4.72% 0-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 59 | 11 | 48 | 79 |
2 | Real Madrid | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 30 | 39 | 68 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 66 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 58 |
5 | Villarreal | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 53 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 49 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 46 |
8 | Osasuna | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 44 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 43 |
10 | GironaGirona | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Sevilla | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Mallorca | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 35 |
15 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 35 |
16 | Almeria | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 33 |
17 | Valencia | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 33 |
18 | Espanyol | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 31 |
19 | Getafe | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
20 | ElcheElche | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 62 | -38 | 16 |
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