

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.42%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Mallorca |
| 33.63% ( | 29.58% ( | 36.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.16% ( | 63.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.93% ( | 83.07% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.65% ( | 35.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.89% ( | 72.11% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.78% ( | 33.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.17% ( | 69.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 7% ( 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 3-2 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 33.62% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.74% 2-2 @ 3.86% ( Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 12.94% ( 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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