

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 41.87%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Mallorca |
| 28.71% | 29.42% | 41.87% |
| Both teams to score 42.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.69% | 64.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.6% | 83.4% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.66% | 39.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.96% | 76.04% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% | 30.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.42% | 66.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 5.2% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.47% Total : 28.71% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 11.95% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.41% | 0-1 @ 14.23% 0-2 @ 8.48% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-3 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.32% Total : 41.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 11 | 49 | 82 |
| 2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 69 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 32 | 37 | 68 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 61 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 54 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 52 |
| 7 | GironaGirona | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 47 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 46 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 44 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 44 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
| 14 | Almeria | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 36 |
| 15 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 35 |
| 16 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 57 | -27 | 35 |
| 17 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 34 |
| 18 | Getafe | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 34 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 31 |
| R | ElcheElche | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 16 |
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