

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Mallorca | 
| 40.07% | 26.99% | 32.95% | 
| Both teams to score 50.51% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.33% | 54.68% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24% | 76% | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.26% | 26.74% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.99% | 62.01% | 
| Mallorca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.95% | 31.05% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.64% | 67.36% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Valencia | Draw | Mallorca | 
| 1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.95% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 85 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 72 | 34 | 38 | 74 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 73 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 68 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 63 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 56 | 
| 7 | Osasuna | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 50 | 
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 50 | 
| 9 | GironaGirona | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 49 | 
| 10 | Sevilla | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 | 
| 11 | Mallorca | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 47 | 
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 46 | 
| 13 | Valencia | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 | 
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 40 | 
| 15 | Almeria | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 39 | 
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 38 | 
| 17 | Getafe | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 38 | 
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 38 | 
| 19 | Espanyol | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 35 | 
| R | ElcheElche | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 66 | -38 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
