Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.