Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 75.35%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 3-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
75.35% (![]() | 15.98% (![]() | 8.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.48% (![]() | 41.52% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.08% (![]() | 63.92% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.64% (![]() | 9.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.46% (![]() | 31.54% (![]() |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.7% (![]() | 51.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.46% (![]() | 85.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
2-0 @ 13.47% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.37% 3-0 @ 10.63% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.99% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.35% Total : 75.33% | 1-1 @ 7.59% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.98% | 0-1 @ 3.21% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 8.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |