Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.