

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 60.53% ( | 20.56% ( | 18.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.56% ( | 38.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.27% ( | 60.73% ( |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.67% ( | 12.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.87% ( | 38.12% ( |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( | 33.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.54% ( | 70.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 3-1 @ 6.91% ( 3-0 @ 6.37% ( 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 4-1 @ 3.62% ( 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 5-0 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.93% Total : 60.53% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0-2 @ 2.45% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 1-3 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 18.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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