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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
DC United
Toronto
2 - 1
DC United
Kerr (14'), Thompson (72')
Kaye (45+2'), Marshall-Rutty (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Benteke (87')
Santos (69')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Austin 1-0 Toronto
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 3-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-0 DC United

 Since 2015, DC have only captured one away match at BMO Field, and their defence have left Miller hanging out to dry too much this season, so although the Reds seem to have their issues, we believe they will be able to expose the visitors' weak backline on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. DC United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawDC United
48.94% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 25.18% (-0.23 -0.23) 25.88% (0.17 0.17)
Both teams to score 52.1% (0.849 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (1.042 1.04)50.75% (-1.043 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35% (0.913 0.91)72.64% (-0.91200000000001 -0.91)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (0.45 0.45)20.75% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (0.701 0.7)53.39% (-0.70200000000001 -0.7)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74% (0.702 0.7)34.25% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.05% (0.747 0.75)70.95% (-0.749 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 48.93%
    DC United 25.88%
    Draw 25.17%
TorontoDrawDC United
1-0 @ 11.17% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.79% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.119 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 25.88%

How you voted: Toronto vs DC United

Toronto
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
DC United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-2
Toronto
Klich (13'), Benteke (90'), Ku-Dipietro (90+8')
Canouse (56'), Benteke (60')
Bernardeschi (66' pen.), Kaye (83')
Bernardeschi (79'), Laryea (85')
May 21, 2022 11.30pm
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Flores (8'), Estrada (56')
Hines-Ike (16'), Alfaro (23'), Smith (84'), Durkin (90+2')
Akinola (36'), Osorio (89')
Salcedo (10'), Jimenez (45+1'), Osorio (80'), Achara (85')
Mar 19, 2022 7pm
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Pozuelo (24'), Osorio (53')
Pozuelo (47'), Osorio (55'), O'Neill (77'), MacNaughton (82')
Canouse (10')
Flores (49'), Najar (72'), Yow (83')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 44
Toronto
1-3
DC United
Laryea (18')
Dwyer (74')
Birnbaum (13'), Kamara (30' pen., 36')
Felipe (65'), Pines (76'), Mora (85'), Birnbaum (90')
Jul 3, 2021 10.30pm
gameweek 13
DC United
7-1
Toronto
Paredes (2'), Robertha (8'), Priso-Mbongue (21' og.), Arriola (71'), Kamara (82'), Rodrigo Asad (85'), Yow (90')
Gressel (57')
Akinola (39')
Gonzalez (35'), Osorio (45+2'), Zavaleta (75')
Zavaleta (78')
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati1410312214833
2Nashville SCNashville1584322101228
3New England RevolutionNew England147432217525
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia147342315824
5Atlanta UnitedAtlanta156542925423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156362025-521
7Orlando City145541717020
8DC United155462018219
9Columbus Crew145362620618
10CF MontrealMontreal146081322-918
11Chicago Fire143742124-316
12New York City FCNY City144461619-316
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls153751013-316
14Toronto153751519-416
15Inter MiamiInter Miami145091418-415

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1482429141526
2Seattle SoundersSeattle158252113826
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1274123101325
4Dallas156631714324
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145451819-119
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd145451315-219
7Houston DynamoHouston135351312118
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver144551917217
9Portland TimbersPortland154471924-516
10Austin FCAustin144461420-616
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144461423-916
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas153481322-913
13Colorado RapidsColorado152671222-1012
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy142391024-149
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