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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Toronto FC
Austin
1 - 0
Toronto
Zardes (90+1')
Pereira (28'), Finlay (37'), Ring (75'), Djeffal (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Servania (35'), Franklin (53'), Kaye (71')

The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.

The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Last Game: Seattle 1-2 Austin
Thursday, May 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-0 Toronto

 The Verde and Black should feel pretty confident following their victory on Wednesday, and given all the uncertainty in Toronto at the moment, not just with their form but the health of multiple key players, it is hard to envision the Reds miraculously turn things around so quickly.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.

Result
Austin FCDrawToronto
59.78% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 21.31% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 18.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.41% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.09% (0.062999999999995 0.06)41.91% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.69% (0.063000000000002 0.06)64.31% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36% (0.033000000000001 0.03)13.64% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.19% (0.065000000000005 0.07)40.81% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (0.016000000000005 0.02)35.83% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (0.016000000000002 0.02)72.61% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 59.78%
    Toronto 18.91%
    Draw 21.31%
Austin FCDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 59.78%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 18.91%

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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati1410312214833
2Nashville SCNashville1584322101228
3New England RevolutionNew England147432217525
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia147342315824
5Atlanta UnitedAtlanta156542925423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156362025-521
7Orlando City145541717020
8DC United155462018219
9Columbus Crew145362620618
10CF MontrealMontreal146081322-918
11Chicago Fire143742124-316
12New York City FCNY City144461619-316
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls153751013-316
14Toronto153751519-416
15Inter MiamiInter Miami145091418-415

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1482429141526
2Seattle SoundersSeattle158252113826
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1274123101325
4Dallas156631714324
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145451819-119
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd145451315-219
7Houston DynamoHouston135351312118
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver144551917217
9Portland TimbersPortland154471924-516
10Austin FCAustin144461420-616
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144461423-916
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas153481322-913
13Colorado RapidsColorado152671222-1012
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy142391024-149
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