Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.08%) and 3-0 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Mallorca |
76.64% ( -0.11) | 15.89% ( 0.2) | 7.47% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 38.89% ( -1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.63% ( -1.21) | 45.37% ( 1.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.29% ( -1.16) | 67.71% ( 1.16) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.98% ( -0.33) | 10.02% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.93% ( -0.78) | 33.07% ( 0.78) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.22% ( -1.01) | 56.78% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.08% ( -0.58) | 88.92% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Mallorca |
2-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.48) 3-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.63% Total : 76.62% | 1-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.38% Total : 15.89% | 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 7.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |