Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 7.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.08%) and 3-0 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.