Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 15.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.