This is a really tough match to call, as both sides are in need of the points at this stage of the season for very different reasons. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared on Saturday in a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 44.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
0.17) 
-0.18) 
