Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.