Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.