Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.