Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.