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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Stuttgart
Wolfsburg
3 - 2
Stuttgart
Marmoush (23'), Arnold (38'), Gerhardt (90+1')
Wimmer (42'), Baku (53'), Arnold (71')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Guirassy (22'), Mavropanos (45+1')
Guirassy (47'), Anton (48'), Ito (70'), Karazor (79'), Millot (85'), Matarazzo (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, September 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Stuttgart

 Both sides are in similar veins of form and need points, therefore, it would not be surprising to see Kovac and Matarazzo adopt a cautious approach here. We are predicting a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawStuttgart
45.24% (0.432 0.43) 24.77% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 29.99% (-0.365 -0.37)
Both teams to score 56.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.54% (0.116 0.12)46.46% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.26% (0.11 0.11)68.74% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.239 0.24)20.6% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (0.376 0.38)53.15% (-0.376 -0.38)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)28.92% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (-0.238 -0.24)64.79% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 45.24%
    Stuttgart 29.99%
    Draw 24.76%
WolfsburgDrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.99%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Stuttgart

Wolfsburg
66.7%
Draw
30.3%
Stuttgart
3.0%
33
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
Wolfsburg
Fuhrich (89')
Sosa (22'), Endo (34'), Karazor (55')
Brooks (13')
Schlager (61'), Nmecha (66')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Wolfsburg
0-2
Stuttgart

Bornauw (24'), Arnold (79')
Mavropanos (25'), Forster (63')
Ito (41'), Marmoush (71')
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
1-3
Wolfsburg
Castro (90+2')
Ahamada (63'), Castro (77'), Cisse (86')
Schlager (13'), Weghorst (29'), Gerhardt (65')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
Wolfsburg
1-0
Stuttgart
Brekalo (49')
Steffen (76'), Gerhardt (90+2')

Gonzalez (20'), Anton (48'), Mangala (86')
May 11, 2019 2.30pm
Stuttgart
3-0
Wolfsburg
Castro (45'), Donis (55'), Didavi (83')
Esswein (23')

Guilavogui (24'), Tisserand (65')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
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