Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
