Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.