Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
