Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Servette had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
