Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
